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Coal Crisis in India "EMPOWER IAS"

Coal Crisis in India "EMPOWER IAS"

Context:

  • More than half of the country’s 135 coal-fired power plants are running on fumes – as coal stocks run critically low.  They have fuel stocks of less than four days, government data shows.

Coal shortage in India

  • In a country where 70% of the electricity is generated using coal, this is a major cause for concern as it threatens to derail India’s post-pandemic economic recovery.
  • Utilities are scrambling to secure coal supplies as inventories hit critical lows after a surge in power demand from industries and sluggish imports due to record global prices push power plants to the brink.

How did the crisis escalate?

  • As India’s economy picked up after a deadly second wave of Covid-19, demand for power rose sharply.
  • Power consumption in the last two months alone jumped by almost 17%, compared to the same period in 2019.
  • At the same time global coal prices increased by 40% and India’s imports fell to a two-year low.
  • India is the world’s second largest importer of coal despite also being home to the fourth largest coal reserves in the world.
  • Power plants that usually rely on imports are now heavily dependent on Indian coal, adding further pressure to already stretched domestic supplies.

What is the likely impact?

  • Experts say importing more coal to make up for domestic shortages is not an option at present.
  • India has seen shortages in the past, but what’s unprecedented this time is coal is really expensive now.
  • Businesses at the end of the day pass on these costs to consumers, so there is an inflationary impact – both direct and indirect that could potentially come from this.
  • If the crisis continues, a surge in the cost of electricity will be felt by consumers.
  • Retail inflation is already high as everything from oil to food has become more expensive.

Other reasons for this crisis

  • In recent years, India’s production has lagged as the country tried to reduce its dependence on coal to meet climate targets.
  • Prices of power-generation fuels are surging globally as electricity demand rebounds with industrial growth, tightening supplies of coal and liquefied natural gas.
  • India is competing against buyers such as China, the world’s largest coal consumer, which is under pressure to ramp up imports amid a severe power crunch.
  • Rising oil, gas, coal and power prices are feeding inflationary pressures worldwide and slowing the economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic.

Challenges posed

  • The desire to cut its reliance on heavily polluting coal burning power plants has been a major challenge for the government in recent years.
  • The question of how India can achieve a balance between meeting demand for electricity from its almost 1.4bn people has to be answered.

What can the government do?

  • Experts advocate a mix of coal and clean sources of energy as a possible long-term solution.
  • It’s not completely possible to transition and it’s never a good strategy to transition 100% to renewables without a backup.
  • Long term investment in multiple power sources aside a crisis like the current one can be averted with better planning.
  • There is need for closer coordination between Coal India Limited – the largest supplier of coal in the country and other stakeholders.
  • For now, the government is working with state-run enterprises to ramp up production and mining to reduce the gap between supply and demand.

Way forward

  • This is a global phenomenon, one not specifically restricted to India.
  • It is unclear how long the current situation will last.
  • With the monsoon on its way out and winter approaching, the demand for power usually falls.
  • So, the mismatch between demand and supply may iron out to some extent.